{"id":193,"date":"2026-01-07T07:00:00","date_gmt":"2026-01-07T15:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/rodrhearyan.com\/blog\/2025-greater-vancouver-real-estate-market-review-record-low-sales-inventory-reset-outlook-2026\/"},"modified":"2026-04-08T09:23:01","modified_gmt":"2026-04-08T16:23:01","slug":"2025-greater-vancouver-real-estate-market-review-record-low-sales-inventory-reset-outlook-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.rodrhearyan.com\/blog\/2025-greater-vancouver-real-estate-market-review-record-low-sales-inventory-reset-outlook-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"A Market on Hold: How 2025 Rewrote the Rules for Greater Vancouver Real Estate"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h2 style=\"text-align: center;\"><strong>2025 Greater Vancouver Real Estate Market Review<\/strong><\/h2>\n<h2 style=\"text-align: center;\"><strong>A Year for the Record Books &mdash; and a Turning Point Ahead<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p><strong>&nbsp;<img decoding=\"async\" style=\"display: block; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;\" title=\"Greater Vancouver Market Review\" src=\"https:\/\/rodrhearyan.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/pexels-souvenirpixels-414462.jpg\" alt=\"Greater Vancouver Market Review\" width=\"720\" \/> <\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\">2025 will be remembered as one of the most unusual and challenging years the Greater Vancouver real estate market has experienced in decades. Not because of a sudden crash or economic crisis &mdash; but because of a prolonged slowdown shaped by uncertainty, psychology, and a historic imbalance between supply and demand.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><strong>By nearly every major metric, 2025 rewrote the record books.<\/strong><\/p>\n<h3 style=\"text-align: center;\">&nbsp;&nbsp;&bull;&bull;&bull;<\/h3>\n<h3><strong>Sales: A 20-Year Low<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p>Home sales across Metro Vancouver fell to their <strong>lowest annual total in more than two decades<\/strong>. According to the Greater Vancouver REALTORS&reg; (GVR), <strong>23,800 residential properties sold in 2025<\/strong>, representing:<\/p>\n<ol>\n<li>A <strong>10.4% decline<\/strong> from 2024<\/li>\n<li>A <strong>9.3% drop<\/strong> from 2023<\/li>\n<li>Nearly <strong>25% below the 10-year annual sales average<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p>GVR Chief Economist <strong>Andrew Lis<\/strong> described the year plainly:<\/p>\n<p><em>&ldquo;This year was one for the history books,&rdquo;<\/em> Lis said, pointing to the rare combination of historically low sales alongside record-setting listing activity.<\/p>\n<p>What makes 2025 particularly notable is that this slowdown wasn&rsquo;t driven by mass job losses or a financial crisis &mdash; factors that typically explain major market pullbacks.<\/p>\n<p><em>&ldquo;In other times when home sales have slowed, there&rsquo;s usually been some fairly obvious economic reason,&rdquo;<\/em> Lis explained. <em>&ldquo;This time around, the factors were less obvious. A lot of it appears to have been psychological.&rdquo;<\/em><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" style=\"display: block; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;\" title=\"Hesitant Buyers\" src=\"https:\/\/rodrhearyan.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/pexels-rdne-8293771.jpg\" alt=\"Hesitant Buyers\" width=\"710\" \/><\/p>\n<h3><strong>Listings: Sellers Showed Up &mdash; In Force<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p>While buyers hesitated, <strong>sellers did the opposite<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p>In 2025, <strong>65,335 properties were listed on MLS&reg;<\/strong>, making it the <strong>highest annual listing total since the mid-1990s<\/strong>, surpassing even the peak of 2008. That figure represents:<\/p>\n<ol>\n<li>An <strong>8.2% increase<\/strong> over 2024<\/li>\n<li>A <strong>28.4% increase<\/strong> over 2023<\/li>\n<li><strong>13% above<\/strong> the 10-year annual average<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p>Lis summed up the contradiction succinctly:<\/p>\n<p><em>&ldquo;While sales weren&rsquo;t as high as expected, there was no shortage of sellers coming to market. It was a very active sell side.&rdquo;<\/em><\/p>\n<p>That imbalance defined the year: <strong>more choice than buyers had seen in years &mdash; but fewer buyers willing to act<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<h3 style=\"text-align: center;\">&bull;&bull;&bull;<\/h3>\n<h3><strong>Inventory: Elevated &mdash; and Still Growing<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p>By year-end, Metro Vancouver entered 2026 with <strong>12,550 active listings<\/strong>, which is:<\/p>\n<ol>\n<li><strong>14.6% higher<\/strong> than December 2024<\/li>\n<li>Nearly <strong>35% above the 10-year seasonal average<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p>This level of inventory fundamentally shifted market dynamics. Buyers gained leverage. Sellers faced longer timelines, more competition, and increased pressure to price strategically.<\/p>\n<p><em><img decoding=\"async\" style=\"display: block; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;\" title=\"Record High Supply\" src=\"https:\/\/rodrhearyan.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/pexels-freestockpro-9822733.jpg\" alt=\"Record High Supply\" width=\"450\" \/> <\/em><\/p>\n<h3><strong>Prices: A Controlled Pullback, Not a Collapse<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p>With sales down and inventory elevated, prices eased &mdash; but gradually.<\/p>\n<p>The MLS&reg; Home Price Index benchmark for all residential properties ended the year at <strong>$1,114,800<\/strong>, reflecting:<\/p>\n<ol>\n<li>A <strong>4.5% decline year-over-year<\/strong><\/li>\n<li>A modest <strong>0.8% dip month-over-month<\/strong> heading into December<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p>Importantly, price movements in the second half of 2025 became <strong>more stable<\/strong>, shifting sideways rather than continuing to slide.<\/p>\n<p>Lis noted this nuance:<\/p>\n<p><em>&ldquo;Over the past few months, prices have been steadier &mdash; moving more sideways than sharply up or down. If that continues, it may signal a bottom to some buyers.&rdquo;<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>&nbsp;<img decoding=\"async\" style=\"display: block; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;\" title=\"Lower Interest Rates\" src=\"https:\/\/rodrhearyan.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/pexels-yaroslav-y-1225711088-24245347_b.jpg\" alt=\"Lower Interest Rates\" width=\"700\" \/> <\/em><\/p>\n<h3><strong>Borrowing Costs: Quietly Improving Conditions<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p>While sales and prices softened, one key factor moved in buyers&rsquo; favour: <strong>borrowing costs<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p>Over the course of 2025, interest rates fell by <strong>nearly a full percentage point<\/strong>, quietly improving affordability &mdash; even as buyer confidence lagged behind.<\/p>\n<p>Lis emphasized the setup heading into 2026:<\/p>\n<p><em>&ldquo;With lower prices, lower borrowing costs, and plenty of inventory, homebuyers are starting the year with favourable conditions.&rdquo;<\/em><\/p>\n<p>Whether buyers act on those conditions remains the open question.<\/p>\n<h3 style=\"text-align: center;\">&bull;&bull;&bull;<\/h3>\n<h3><strong>The Missing Buyer: Psychology Over Economics<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p>One of the defining themes of 2025 was <strong>buyer hesitation rooted in uncertainty<\/strong>, not financial distress.<\/p>\n<p>Trade tensions with the United States, lingering affordability concerns, and fear of further price declines kept many buyers on the sidelines &mdash; particularly in markets like Metro Vancouver that saw rapid price growth over the past decade.<\/p>\n<p><em>&ldquo;It seems that in markets with the fastest price growth over the last 10 years, we&rsquo;re seeing the slowest sales now,&rdquo;<\/em> Lis observed.<\/p>\n<p>At the same time, speculative demand &mdash; once a significant driver in higher-priced markets &mdash; was largely absent.<\/p>\n<p>As one local agent told Postmedia, today&rsquo;s buyers are asking a different question than they did in past cycles:<\/p>\n<p><em>&ldquo;Everybody&rsquo;s apprehensive. They&rsquo;re asking, &lsquo;What kind of return can I expect?&rsquo; And the truth is &mdash; nobody has a crystal ball.&rdquo;<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em><img decoding=\"async\" style=\"display: block; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;\" title=\"Will Buyers Return To The Market?\" src=\"https:\/\/rodrhearyan.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/pexels-asphotography-101808.jpg\" alt=\"Will Buyers Return To The Market?\" width=\"710\" \/> <\/em><\/p>\n<h3><strong>Looking Ahead to 2026: Pressure Building Beneath the Surface<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p>Despite the slowdown, most economists &mdash; including Lis &mdash; do not expect today&rsquo;s conditions to persist indefinitely.<\/p>\n<p>Life events don&rsquo;t pause forever. Jobs change. Families grow. People downsize, upsize, and relocate.<\/p>\n<p><em>&ldquo;At a certain point, I do expect that pressure from the buy side to release,&rdquo;<\/em> Lis said. <em>&ldquo;A lot of people who delayed decisions in 2025 will eventually choose to make them.&rdquo;<\/em><\/p>\n<p>Lis estimates sales in 2026 could rebound toward <strong>26,000&ndash;28,000 transactions<\/strong>, with <strong>30,000 representing a strong year<\/strong> &mdash; still below historical highs, but a meaningful recovery from 2025&rsquo;s trough.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" style=\"display: block; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;\" title=\"Maple Street Port Coquitlam\" src=\"https:\/\/rodrhearyan.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/poco_drone_a.jpeg\" alt=\"Maple Street Port Coquitlam\" width=\"700\" \/><\/p>\n<h3 style=\"text-align: center;\"><strong>2025 in Review &mdash; Key Takeaways<\/strong><\/h3>\n<ol>\n<li><strong>A Historic Slowdown, Not a Breakdown<\/strong><br \/> 2025 marked the lowest annual sales total in over two decades, but the market did not collapse. Instead, it paused. Activity slowed while fundamentals reset, creating a market defined more by hesitation than distress.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Inventory Surged, Power Shifted<\/strong><br \/> Sellers brought record levels of supply to market, pushing inventory well above historical norms. With more choice than buyers have seen in years, leverage shifted decisively toward the buy side.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Prices Adjusted, Not Cratered<\/strong><br \/> Home prices eased across all property types as competition increased, but declines remained measured. The market re-priced to meet reality rather than spiraling downward.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Confidence Lagged Behind Opportunity<\/strong><br \/> Lower borrowing costs, softer pricing, and abundant inventory created favorable conditions &mdash; yet uncertainty and psychological hesitation kept many buyers on the sidelines.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Sellers Were Forced to Adapt<\/strong><br \/> With demand selective and competition fierce, pricing and presentation mattered more than ever. Homes that adjusted expectations and stood out continued to sell; others waited.<\/li>\n<li><strong>The Foundation for 2026 Is Set<\/strong><br \/> By year&rsquo;s end, leverage had changed hands, conditions quietly improved, and delayed life decisions continued to build pressure beneath the surface.<\/li>\n<li><strong>The Big Question Moving Forward<\/strong><br \/> The market isn&rsquo;t asking <em>if<\/em> activity returns &mdash; but <em>when<\/em>, and how quickly confidence catches up to improving fundamentals.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\">&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.google.com\/maps\/place\/Rod,+Rhea+%26+Ryan+Hayes:+R3+Hayes+Real+Estate+Group:+Rod+Hayes+Personal+Real+Estate+Corporation\/@49.2428113,-122.7827703,17z\/data=!4m8!3m7!1s0x5486783c666d368d:0x2c9884010126a03!8m2!3d49.2428113!4d-122.7827703!9m1!1b1!16s%2Fg%2F1ts_690v?entry=ttu&amp;g_ep=EgoyMDI1MDIxMS4wIKXMDSoJLDEwMjExNDUzSAFQAw%3D%3D\" rel=\"nofollow\" target=\"_blank\">&nbsp;Our Google reviews will give you all the confidence you need!<\/a><\/p>\n<h3 style=\"text-align: center;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.rodrhearyan.com\/real-estate-top5-why-work-with-us-family-business-marketing-experience-expertise-local-neighbourhood-realtor-personal-royal-lepage-canadian-rod-rhea-ryan\"><strong>TOP 5 reasons to work with R3 Hayes Real Estate Group<\/strong><\/a><\/h3>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" title=\"R3 Hayes Real Estate Group\" src=\"https:\/\/rodrhearyan.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/banner.png\" alt=\"R3 Hayes Real Estate Group\" width=\"900\" \/><\/p>\n<h3 style=\"text-align: center;\">In a market full of noise and hesitation, <strong>we&rsquo;re the steady hand you can trust.<\/strong><br \/> Whether you&#8217;re planning ahead or ready to make a move, let&#8217;s talk strategy&mdash;<strong>we&rsquo;re here to help you come out ahead.<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" style=\"display: block; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;\" src=\"https:\/\/rodrhearyan.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/r3_logo.png\" alt=\"r3 logo\" width=\"100\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\">R3 Hayes Real Estate Group &ndash; <strong><span style=\"font-size: 12px;\"><em>Your Neighbourhood Experts<\/em><\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><strong><span style=\"font-size: 12px;\"><em><strong>&nbsp; Call\/Text <\/strong><\/em><strong><span style=\"font-size: 12px;\">Ryan:<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/strong><span style=\"font-size: 12px;\"><span style=\"font-size: 12px;\">&nbsp;<\/span><\/span><span style=\"font-size: 12px;\"><span style=\"font-size: 12px;\">604-561-2127<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><strong>&nbsp;<span style=\"font-size: 12px;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/RodRheaRyan\/\" rel=\"nofollow\" target=\"_blank\">Follow us on social media for more market updates!<\/a><\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<h4 style=\"margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.rodrhearyan.com\/testimonials\">Your Neighbourhood Experts<\/a><\/h4>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>&nbsp; 2025 Greater Vancouver Real Estate Market Review A Year for the Record Books &mdash; and a Turning Point Ahead &nbsp; 2025 will be remembered as &hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":2072,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[7],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-193","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news"],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rodrhearyan.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/193","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rodrhearyan.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rodrhearyan.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rodrhearyan.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rodrhearyan.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=193"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.rodrhearyan.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/193\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":2692,"href":"https:\/\/www.rodrhearyan.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/193\/revisions\/2692"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rodrhearyan.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/2072"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rodrhearyan.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=193"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rodrhearyan.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=193"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rodrhearyan.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=193"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}