Port Coquitlam Market:
September 2024 vs 2023
Fall begins with a summer hangover. High supply & softening prices dominate the market.
Looking for an accurate picture of where the real estate market is headed?
Today we dive in and take a deeper look at the Port Coquitlam market as a whole:
- A full overview & an in depth look at detached homes and townhouses. Both focusing on:
- How statistics stack up to the previous month's activity.
- Where we are standing compared to the same time period in 2023.
- Larger market trends.
•••
Port Coquitlam Benchmark Price Overview:
- After May signified the one year mark of all three areas of the market having a higher benchmark price than the previous year...the gap is now narrowing.
- In June townhouses dipped below their 2023 benchmark before briefly recovering in August & diving below again in September.
- After coming within $600 of the previous years benchmark in August detached homes have widened the gap...but only just shy of $19,000.
- Each month condos edge closer to parity with 2023 pricing. Now just $17,600 above September of last year.
2024 Port Coquitlam Market Snapshot:
- 2024 has seen the real estate market develop outside of normal trends:
- January was slow to warm up & February saw the return of sellers, sizable pricing increases, & continued buyer activity.
- March saw increased sales/supply, & pricing volatility as some areas continued upwards & others took a step back.
- April was marked with generalized growth. More listings, more sales, fewer days on market, & (mostly) increasing prices.
- Late April through early May represents the 2024 peak.
- Mid May through to July was slow, but despite low sales sellers continued to list their homes.
- August saw sales dip even further as prices continue to hold with minor fluctuations.
- September brought softening prices & continued slow sales.
2023 Comparison:
- Detached homes have been experiencing a yo-yo pricing effect in relation to their 2023 counterparts:
- $61,600 improvement May 2024 to May 2023
- $14,500 improvement June 2024 to June 2023.
- $17,600 improvement July 2024 to July 2024.
- $600 improvement August 2024 vs 2023.
- $18,400 improvement September 2024 vs 2023.
- After five months of reeling from a massive pricing increase the townhouse market finally saw a pricing increase in August.
- However, the $9,500 becnhmark increase was quickly outweighed by a 30 day decrease of $52,500 in September.
- After the benchmark price dipped below its 2023 counterpart in July, August saw it increase to 0.3% above August 2023...September's big decrease brough the benchmark 4.4% below September 2023. Entering another potentioal yo-yo cycle.
- After taking a massive pricing jump in February of this year the condo market has really levelled off.
- Jan 2024: $612,900
- Feb 2024: $650,200 (a 30 day increase of $37,300)
- The most pricing has fallen since its Feb peak is $10,300, & it now sits just $9,500 below the peak. The condo market continues to ebb and flow and has proven the most reliable and steady section of the market in 2024.
Overall Supply & Sales Update:
Compared to the same time last year supply has exploded:
- Detached: +72.2%
- Condo: +62.3%
- Townhouse: +56.8%
When September supply is compared to August:
- Detached: 18 more listings than in August
- Condo: 16 more listings than in August
- Townhouse: 2 less listing than in August
Compared to the same time last year sales have mostly fallen off:
- Detached: -50%
- Condo: -8.3%
- Townhomes: +7.1%
Sales remain slow month over month (compared to August):
- Detached: the same amount of sales as August
- Condo: 2 less sales than August
- Townhouse: 2 less sales than August
•••
Detached Market Update:
After 5 months of uncertainty and pricing decreases the detached market saw a massive uptick in February—recoiled in March—& returned to increases for April & May. Since May there has been a levelling off period...however September was the second month in a row that the benchmark price declined.
- In the last 12 months detached home's benchmark pricing has seen minimal growth; up just $18,400 in a one year period.
- February saw a the most substantial pricing increase in over a year. $49,000
- In the last 30 days the benchmark price for detached homes decreased $13,000; the most substantial since June.
- After April 2024 broke the benchmark price high for 2023 (set last August--$1,438,600), May managed to continue the upwards trend before June dipped back below the high & pricing has not recovered since.
- We are now $27,800 below peak 2024 prices & $19,500 below peak 2023 pricing.
- October & November of 2023 was the last time the detached market saw its benchmark price decline for two straight months.
Detached Home Benchmark Pricing:
- September: $1,408,000
- October: $1,386,100
- November: $1,373,800
- December: $1,377,800
- January: $1,368,900
- February: $1,417,900
- March: $1,396,400
- April: $1,438,700
- May: $1,446,900
- June: $1,423,900
- July: $1,436,900
- August: $1,432,100
- September: $1,419,100
•••
Townhouse Market Update:
- In February of this year the townhouse market experienced its first benchmark price increase in four months.
- After 90 days of trending upwards May saw the slightest dip...just $1,000...however, it was the beginning of a 90 day downward trend.
- August experienced a brief uptick before September saw the largest 30 day movement, positive or negative, since mid 2022
- June - July 2022 saw a $65,300 decrease.
- August - September 2024 saw a $52,500 decrease.
- Townhouses are now $65,700 below the 2024 market peak, & $75,100 below the 2023 peak.
- The 2023 peak was $975,300 in last July.
- Year over year the benchmark price has decreased $41,600.
Townhouse Benchmark Pricing:
- September: $944,800
- October: $953,100
- November: $944,100
- December: $913,000
- January: $909,200
- February: $915,600
- March: $963,000
- April: $965,900
- May: $964,900
- June: $950,600
- July: $943,200
- August:$952,700
- September: $900,200
Compared to 2023 supply continues to soar, and although the market appeared to be leveling out throughout the summer September took a downward turn. Buyers have taken a step back. For the last several months since a late Apri peak pricing growth has stagnated generally fluctuating minorly up and then back down month-over-month. However, September broke the yo-yo trend for two areas of the market; detached homes saw two back-to-back months of decreases and townhouses saw a large decrease.
Subject to sale offers have returned to varying degrees. The fall market hasn't recovered from a slow summer, and while there is still movement buyers are looking for 'great deals' or they are holding off as supply remains unusually high.
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